<\/div>\n
B\u00fcy\u00fck maksatlar, tatl\u0131 rekabet<\/span><\/b><\/p>\nAL tavsiyesi ile takibe al\u0131yoruz<\/strong><\/p>\nT\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin en b\u00fcy\u00fck yumu\u015fak \u015fekerleme \u00fcreticisi Kervan Gida\u2019yi AL tavsiyesi ile takibe ba\u015fl\u0131yoruz. Aral\u0131k\u2019ta halka arz\u0131ndan beri %56 art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6steren pay senedi, BIST 100\u2019\u00fcn %49 \u00fcst\u00fcnde getiri g\u00f6stermi\u015ftir. \u00d6te yandan sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n %60\u2019a yak\u0131n\u0131 ihracattan gelen bir \u015firketin, \u0130ndirgenmi\u015f Nakit Ak\u0131mlar\u0131 (\u0130NA) de\u011ferlemesinde daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck bir sermaye maliyetiyle pahalanmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini
d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Bu bi\u00e7imde hesaplad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z 12 ayl\u0131k maksat fiyat\u0131m\u0131za nazaran %28 potansiyel getiri buluyoruz.<\/p>\n
Y\u00fcksek kapasite art\u0131\u015f\u0131<\/strong><\/p>\nKurulu\u015fu 1994\u2019e dayanan yumu\u015fak \u015fekerleme ve s\u00fcrpriz yumurta \u00fcreticisi Kervan Besin \u0130stanbul ve Manisa bazl\u0131 olarak faaliyetlerini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmektedir. Yat\u0131r\u0131mlar ve \u015firket al\u0131mlar\u0131yla s\u00fcratli bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftiren Kervan Besin, 2017\u2019den g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcze yumu\u015fak \u015fekerleme \u00fcretim kapasitesini yakla\u015f\u0131k iki kat artt\u0131rarak 77.7 bin tona \u00e7\u0131kartm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. T\u0131pk\u0131 devirde s\u00fcrpriz yumurta\/oyuncak
kapasitesini iki kattan da fazla b\u00fcy\u00fcterek 83.2 bin tona ula\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bilhassa yumu\u015fak \u015fekerleme ve licorice \u00e7izgileri azami kapasiteye yak\u0131n \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan \u015firket, ek kapasite ve verimlilik yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131na devam etmektedir.<\/p>\n
\u0130hra\u00e7 pazarlar\u0131na odaklanma<\/strong><\/p>\nYakla\u015f\u0131k 85 \u00fclkeye eser yollayan Kervan Besin, sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n %60\u2019a yak\u0131n\u0131n\u0131 ihra\u00e7 pazarlar\u0131ndan sa\u011flamaktad\u0131r. \u0130hrac\u0131n\u0131n %40 civar\u0131n\u0131 \u0130ngiltere, Amerika ve Almanya\u2019ya yapan \u015firket, bilhassa iskontolu zincir marketlerde istek g\u00f6rmektedir. Yurt i\u00e7inde, Bebeto markas\u0131 ve fason \u00fcretimi g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcne al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda sat\u0131\u015f k\u0131ymeti baz\u0131nda %35 ve hacimle %50\u2019lik pazar hissesine sahiptir. Kervan i\u00e7in en de\u011ferli perakende kanallar BIM ve A101 \u00fczere iskonto marketleridir.<\/p>\n
\u0130yi karl\u0131l\u0131k, lakin y\u00fcksek i\u015fletme sermayesi masraf\u0131<\/strong><\/p>\n2020 y\u0131l\u0131 sonunda sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 1 milyar TL\u2019yi ge\u00e7en Kervan, %21 FAV\u00d6K marj\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmi\u015ftir. Bir evvelki y\u0131la nazaran yakla\u015f\u0131k %2\u2019lik bir g\u00fczelle\u015fme sa\u011flanan karl\u0131l\u0131k, TL\u2019nin bedel kaybetmesinden olumlu etkilenmi\u015ftir. Her ne kadar yabanc\u0131 para baz\u0131nda hammadde sarfiyatlar\u0131 olsa da, bunlar ihra\u00e7 gelirleri taraf\u0131ndan ziyadesiyle kar\u015f\u0131lanmaktad\u0131r. \u00d6te yandan, \u015firketin i\u015fletme sermayesi sarfiyatlar\u0131
sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n %10-11\u2019i civar\u0131ndad\u0131r. Ayr\u0131yeten Kervan, sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k %4-5\u2019lik k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 periyodik yat\u0131r\u0131mlara ay\u0131rmak durumundad\u0131r. B\u00fct\u00fcn bunlara kar\u015f\u0131, \u015firketin bilan\u00e7osu yakla\u015f\u0131k 0.4x\u2019lik net bor\u00e7\/fav\u00f6k oran\u0131 ile sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131d\u0131r. En son a\u00e7\u0131klanan \u015firket sat\u0131n almas\u0131yla bile bu oran\u0131n 1.7x civar\u0131nda kalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n
Polanya\u2019da yeni kapasite<\/strong><\/p>\n30 Haziran\u2019da Polonya\u2019l\u0131 OTM\u2019nin %65\u2019ini 13.3m Avro\u2019ya ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klayan Kervan, bu sat\u0131n almayla yumu\u015fak \u015feker kapasitesini yakla\u015f\u0131k %50 artt\u0131rm\u0131\u015f olacakt\u0131r. \u015eirket hesaplar\u0131n\u0131n tam konsolidasyonu sonras\u0131nda, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck 5. \u015fekerleme \u00fcreticisi pozisyonuna ula\u015facak olan Kervan, OTM\u2019nin sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 vergi avantaj\u0131yla Avrupa Birli\u011fi ve politik sebeplerden sat\u0131\u015f yapamad\u0131\u011f\u0131 birtak\u0131m Orta Do\u011fu \u00fclkelerine ihracat\u0131n\u0131 artt\u0131racakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n
B\u00fcy\u00fcme devam edebilir<\/strong><\/p>\n2030 prestijiyle d\u00fcnyada birinci 3\u2019e girmeyi hedefleyen \u015firket idaresi, OTM\u2019nin hazmedilmesinden sonra b\u00fcy\u00fck bir ihtimalle \u015firket al\u0131mlar\u0131yla b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye devam edecektir. Bu evrede modelimize OTM yahut \u00f6teki sat\u0131n almalar\u0131 dahil etmiyoruz. Lakin gitgide gelirleri yurt d\u0131\u015f\u0131 odakl\u0131 olan Kervan\u2019\u0131n daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck bir sermaye maliyetiyle k\u0131ymetlenmesi gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. 2021 ve 2022
iddialar\u0131m\u0131za nazaran, Kervan Besin 11.0x ve 6.8x F\/K ile fiyatlanmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n
Yasal \u0130kaz<\/strong><\/p>\nBurada yer alan yat\u0131r\u0131m bilgi, yorum ve tavsiyeleri yat\u0131r\u0131m dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 kapsam\u0131nda de\u011fildir. Yat\u0131r\u0131m dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 hizmeti; arac\u0131 kurumlar, portf\u00f6y idare \u015firketleri, mevduat kabul etmeyen bankalar ile m\u00fc\u015fteri ortas\u0131nda imzalanacak yat\u0131r\u0131m dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 kontrat\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde sunulmaktad\u0131r. Burada yer alan yorum ve tavsiyeler, yorum ve tavsiyede bulunanlar\u0131n ferd\u00ee g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerine dayanmaktad\u0131r. Bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fler mali durumunuz ile risk ve getiri tercihlerinize uygun olmayabilir. Bu nedenle, yaln\u0131zca burada yer alan bilgilere dayan\u0131larak yat\u0131r\u0131m karar\u0131 verilmesi beklentilerinize uygun sonu\u00e7lar do\u011furmayabilir.<\/p>\n
\u0130nfo Yat\u0131r\u0131m<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/p>\nPara Tahlil<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
B\u00fcy\u00fck maksatlar, tatl\u0131 rekabet AL tavsiyesi ile takibe al\u0131yoruz T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin en b\u00fcy\u00fck yumu\u015fak \u015fekerleme \u00fcreticisi Kervan Gida\u2019yi AL tavsiyesi …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":12544,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[185,2250,173,107,43],"class_list":["post-12543","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-borsa","tag-kapasite","tag-kervan","tag-satis","tag-sirket","tag-yatirim"],"yoast_head":"\n
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