<\/div>\n
TS\u0130 19:30\u2019da Wall Street\u2019de DJ30 ve S&P500 %0.7 civar\u0131nda paha kaybederken, endi\u015fe g\u00f6stergesi VIX de 19 puana eri\u015fti.\u00a0 Geli\u015fmekte Olan \u00dclkeler (GO\u00dc, Piyasalar = GOP) para \u00fcniteleri endeksi dolara kar\u015f\u0131 2 ay\u0131n taban\u0131na inerken, MSCI GOP Pay Endeksi ise Latin Amerika a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f\u0131nda %2\u00a0 k\u0131ymet yitiriyordu. B\u0130ST-100 g\u00fcn\u00fc %1.27 kay\u0131pla kapatt\u0131. Dolar\/TL ve D\u0130BS faizleri sakin.<\/p>\n
ABD\u2019de birinci i\u015fsizlik m\u00fcracaatlar\u0131 son haftada 2 bin artt\u0131 ve 373 bin oldu. Evvelki hafta 364 bin olan m\u00fcracaatlar 371 bin olarak revize edildi. Haziran ay\u0131n\u0131n son s\u00fcre\u00e7 haftas\u0131nda pandemi sonras\u0131 en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyeyi g\u00f6ren m\u00fcracaatlar, son haftada da 400 bin alt\u0131nda kalarak azalmaya devam etti.\u00a0 ABD\u2019de ekonomik\u00a0 faaliyet anketleri ISM ve PMI da iktisatta geni\u015flemenin s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc, lakin ivme kaybetti\u011fini i\u015faret etmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n
Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n iki korkusu var. GOP a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131nda, \u00c7in\u2019in teknoloji \u015firketleri \u00fcst\u00fcnde kurdu\u011fu bask\u0131 ve kesti\u011fi cezalar bu \u00e7ok de\u011ferli pazar\u0131n cazibesini azalt\u0131yor. \u00c7in\u2019de b\u00fcy\u00fcme de yava\u015fl\u0131yor. PBoC bankalar\u0131n munzam kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k oranlar\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrerek iktisada takviye verecek.<\/p>\n
\u0130kinci endi\u015fe ise Covid-19 Delta varyant\u0131. Tokyo\u2019da tekrar inan\u0131lmaz hal ilan edilirken, Afrika salg\u0131nda olay say\u0131s\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan en makus haftay\u0131 geride b\u0131rakt\u0131. Tokyo Olimpiyatlar\u0131 seyircisiz yap\u0131labilir.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de ise Borsa\u2019dan yabanc\u0131 \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131 s\u00fcrerken, yeni halk arzlar da cazibeyi azalt\u0131yor. Dolar\/TL sakin, zira carry trade s\u00fcre\u00e7lerinde k\u0131ymetli rol oynayan dolar opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u015eubat\u2019tan bu yana en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck d\u00fczeyine geriledi. Ayr\u0131yeten, yaz\u0131n turizm gelirlerinin $20 milyar\u0131 a\u015faca\u011f\u0131 beklentisi de TL\u2019yi destekliyor.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de siyasi riskler fiyatlanm\u0131yor. TUIK, TCMB ve TMSF\u2019de vazifeden almalar\u0131n mana ve nedeni a\u00e7\u0131k de\u011fil. \u00a0Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n S\u00fcleyman Soylu\u2019nun gitmesini istedi\u011fine dair haberler \u00e7o\u011fal\u0131rken, bu durumda Bah\u00e7eli\u2019yle m\u00fcnasebetlerin bozulmas\u0131 kelam konusu.<\/p>\n
BDDK bat\u0131k kredileri \u00f6telemek i\u00e7in yeni form\u00fcller icat ederken (banka paylar\u0131 i\u00e7in olumsuz haber), Reuters\u2019e nazaran yeni bir Kedi Garanti Fonu imkan\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131lacak. Bu \u00a0hamle se\u00e7ime haz\u0131rl\u0131k olabilir, ayr\u0131yeten enflasyon ve devaluasyonu da h\u0131zland\u0131rabilir.<\/p>\n
Riskli varl\u0131klarda ikinci g\u00fcn\u00fcn\u00fc\u00a0 dolduran sat\u0131\u015f dalgas\u0131n\u0131n kal\u0131c\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnm\u00fcyoruz. ABD\u2019de b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u00e7ok g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ki bir-iki olumsuz data bu g\u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fcy\u00fc bozmaz.\u00a0 Genelde, Geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00dclkeler\u2019de b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin s\u00fcrat kaybetti\u011fine dair somut ispat yok.<\/p>\n
Fakat, Delta varyant\u0131 \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli belirsizlik te\u015fkil ediyor. mRNA tipi a\u015f\u0131lar bu tipe kar\u015f\u0131 y\u00fcksek muhafaza sa\u011fl\u0131yor. Lakin Sputnik ve Sinopharm tipi a\u015f\u0131lar\u0131n kullan\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fclkeler ve a\u015f\u0131ya eri\u015femeyen Afrika ve Latin Amerika GOP\u2019ta salg\u0131n\u0131n yay\u0131lmas\u0131 bir m\u00fcddet daha primleri \u00f6teleyebilir.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrkiye a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan ise sorun sat\u0131n al\u0131nacak bir \u00f6yk\u00fc olmay\u0131\u015f\u0131. Lakin cari istikrar ve turizm bilgileri a\u00e7\u0131klan\u0131nca bir \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fc \u00fcst hareket seyredebiliriz. Yabanc\u0131 fonlar\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye d\u00f6nmesi i\u00e7in ise ABD ve AB\u2019yle ba\u011flant\u0131lar\u0131n biraz daha yumu\u015famas\u0131 beklenecek.<\/p>\n
Dolar\/TL\u2019de yaz rehaveti<\/p>\n
Bankalar\u0131n problemli kredileri i\u00e7in yeni \u00fcnite: \u201c\u00c7\u00f6z\u00fcmleme Birimi\u201d<\/p>\n
Borsa \u0130stanbul\u2019daki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00fcz\u00fcnden \u015firketler paylar\u0131n\u0131 topluyor<\/p>\n<\/p>\n
Para Tahlil<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
TS\u0130 19:30\u2019da Wall Street\u2019de DJ30 ve S&P500 %0.7 civar\u0131nda paha kaybederken, endi\u015fe g\u00f6stergesi VIX de 19 puana eri\u015fti.\u00a0 Geli\u015fmekte Olan \u00dclkeler …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":12416,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[1982,33],"class_list":["post-12415","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-borsa","tag-bin","tag-dolar"],"yoast_head":"\n
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