<\/div>\n
Temsilciler Meclisi\u2019nin Kontrol ve Islahat Komisyonu\u2019nda d\u00fczenlenen \u201c\u00c7\u0131kar\u0131lan Dersler: Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n Corona Vir\u00fcs\u00fc Pandemisine Kar\u015f\u0131 Verdi\u011fi Yan\u0131t\u201d ba\u015fl\u0131kl\u0131 oturumda konu\u015fan ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 Lideri Jerome Powell, Kongre \u00fcyelerinin sorular\u0131n\u0131 yan\u0131tlad\u0131.\u00a0ABD\u2019de pandeminin akabinde iktisat toparlanma sinyalleri verirken enflasyondaki art\u0131\u015fa odaklanan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, Merkez Bankas\u0131 Lideri Powell\u2019\u0131n ne \u00fczere iletiler verece\u011fini merakla bekliyordu.<\/p>\n
Powell beklenenden fakl\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamalar yapmad\u0131.\u00a0 Halbuki bir hafta \u00f6nceli FOMC toplant\u0131 \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131nda Fed\u2019in beklenti patikas\u0131nda yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00fcncellemeler daha \u015fahin bir bak\u0131\u015fa i\u015faret ederek piyasalarda reaksiyon bulmu\u015ftu.\u00a0 Fed faiz oran\u0131n\u0131 beklenenden daha erken, 2023 y\u0131l\u0131nda iki kere artt\u0131rabilece\u011fi sinyalini vermi\u015fti.<\/p>\n
Powell d\u00fcn tekrar ABD\u2019de enflasyonda izlenen art\u0131\u015f\u0131n s\u00fcreksiz oldu\u011fu ve s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir bir d\u00fczeye gerileyece\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc yineledi. Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131\u2019na nazaran ABD iktisad\u0131 pandemi sonras\u0131 i\u00e7in sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 bir s\u00fcratte b\u00fcy\u00fcmekte.\u00a0 Enflasyondaki art\u0131\u015f pandeminin ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclen keskin fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc ve arzda ya\u015fanan sorunlara ba\u011fl\u0131.\u00a0 Bu nedenlerle de, son 13 y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek d\u00fczeyine \u00e7\u0131kan enflasyondaki y\u00fckseli\u015f s\u00fcreksiz.\u00a0 Tedarikte ya\u015fanan s\u00fcreksiz tesirlerin azalmas\u0131yla birlikte ABD\u2019de enflasyon Fed\u2019in uzun vadeli maksad\u0131 olan %2 civar\u0131na hakikat gerileyecek.<\/p>\n
Ama Fed i\u00e7inde enflasyonun ge\u00e7icili\u011fi konusunda \u00fcyeler hemfikir olsa da, gerileyece\u011fi d\u00fczeyin Fed\u2019in uzun vadeli amac\u0131 %2 civar\u0131 olup olmayaca\u011f\u0131 taraf\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fler de\u011fi\u015fiyor.<\/p>\n
St. Louis Merkez Bankas\u0131 Lideri James Bullard Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada, \u201cekonominin daha evvel gibisi g\u00f6r\u00fclmemi\u015f bir devirden ge\u00e7ti\u011fini, bu sebeple de enflasyonun ilerde nereye kadar gidebilece\u011finin kestirilmesinin g\u00fc\u00e7 oldu\u011funu\u201d s\u00f6yleyerek, \u201cenflasyonda \u00fcst istikametli risklerin oldu\u011fu fikrine haz\u0131r olmam\u0131z gerek\u201d demi\u015fti.<\/p>\n
New York Merkez Bankas\u0131 Lideri John Williams ise fiyatlarda g\u00f6r\u00fclen art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n s\u00fcreksiz olmas\u0131n\u0131 bekledi\u011fini, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki y\u0131l enflasyonun %2\u2019ye d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Fed Lideri Powell, son FOMC ile verilen bildirilere kar\u015f\u0131n piyasalarda ani bir \u015fok yaratmamak ismine \u201cy\u00fcksek enflasyon kayg\u0131s\u0131 sebebiyle\u201d faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcratle artt\u0131rmayacaklar\u0131n\u0131 vurguluyor. Powell, bunun i\u00e7in ger\u00e7ek enflasyona i\u015faret eden bilgileri bekleyeceklerini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Bunun anla\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 i\u00e7in birinci evvel enflasyonu %5\u2019lerin de \u00fczerine ta\u015f\u0131yacak baz tesirinin seriden \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131, yani bu y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011finde enflasyonist bask\u0131lar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan gidi\u015fat\u0131n ne tarafta olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131n g\u00f6r\u00fclmesi gerekiyor. Yaz aylar\u0131nda ABD T\u00dcFE enflasyonunun mevcut %5 d\u00fczeyinin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 beklenen.\u00a0 Akabinde global \u00f6l\u00e7ekte imalat sanayi \u00fcretiminde doru\u011fa ula\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 ve a\u015f\u0131lamaya ba\u011fl\u0131 hizmetler taraf\u0131na oda\u011f\u0131n kaymas\u0131 ile enflasyon bask\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n 2022 giri\u015finde hafiflemesi gerekiyor.<\/p>\n
Ama, hem FOMC \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131 yap\u0131lan a\u00e7\u0131klamalar, hem emtia fiyatlar\u0131ndaki s\u0131\u00e7rama sonras\u0131 ba\u015flayan ola\u011fanla\u015fman\u0131n yava\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131, hem de hizmetler taraf\u0131nda da biriken enflasyonist bask\u0131lar 2022 sonunda ABD T\u00dcFE enflasyonunun maksat %2 civar\u0131 de\u011fil, %3-3,5 civar\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 anlat\u0131yor.\u00a0 Fed\u2019in para siyasetindeki de\u011fi\u015fimin ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz olu\u015fu da zati gaye ve ola\u011fanla\u015fan enflasyonun ortas\u0131ndaki farktan kaynaklan\u0131yor olacak.<\/p>\n
\u00d6zetle, enflasyonda \u00e7ok s\u0131\u00e7rama sonras\u0131 bir gerileme, ola\u011fanla\u015fma bekleniyor.\u00a0 Fakat tekrar %2 civar\u0131na d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f bug\u00fcn\u00fcn penceresinden g\u00fc\u00e7.\u00a0 Bu d\u00fczeye y\u00f6neltmek i\u00e7in Fed\u2019in kesinlikle, sonlu ve kademeli olarak devreye girmesi gerekiyor.<\/p>\n
Bug\u00fcn \u015fimdi Fed Lideri bildirileri ve likidite ile piyasalara dayanak vermeye devam etti\u011finden reaksiyon sonlu kal\u0131yor olsa da, y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011finde i\u015fin rengi epey farkl\u0131 olacak \u00fczere g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
GA.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n
Para Tahlil<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Temsilciler Meclisi\u2019nin Kontrol ve Islahat Komisyonu\u2019nda d\u00fczenlenen \u201c\u00c7\u0131kar\u0131lan Dersler: Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n Corona Vir\u00fcs\u00fc Pandemisine Kar\u015f\u0131 …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":12007,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[42,208,38,2103,746],"class_list":["post-12006","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-doviz","tag-abd","tag-baskani","tag-enflasyon","tag-enflasyonda","tag-powell"],"yoast_head":"\n
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